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2021-05-04

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Log Adjusted 52.7% 47.3% -
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (99-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 39 8-23 2-9 0-1 2 6 0 0 18 3 -
Jalen McDaniels * 38 4-11 1-3 1-2 12 1 3 1 10 16 -
Caleb Martin * 33 6-14 2-8 3-4 5 2 2 1 17 13 -
LaMelo Ball * 30 7-16 3-5 6-6 7 6 2 0 23 22 -
Bismack Biyombo * 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 8 -
Brad Wanamaker 30 5-8 0-0 5-5 5 4 1 0 15 17 -
Malik Monk 18 0-8 0-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 -1 -
Cody Zeller 17 5-8 0-1 1-4 8 1 0 1 11 13 -
Vernon Carey Jr. 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 5 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Hamidou Diallo * 40 14-22 4-6 3-6 7 0 0 1 35 21 -
Saddiq Bey * 38 2-12 2-10 1-1 9 3 0 0 7 7 -
Sekou Doumbouya * 33 9-15 2-5 0-0 8 2 1 0 20 16 -
Killian Hayes * 28 1-6 1-5 1-2 5 7 1 1 4 12 -
Isaiah Stewart * 26 1-5 0-2 1-2 7 0 0 1 3 6 -
Frank Jackson 28 5-14 0-4 4-4 3 4 1 0 14 8 -
Jahlil Okafor 21 5-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 12 11 -
Saben Lee 19 2-6 0-0 0-3 3 5 0 0 4 6 -
Tyler Cook 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter