Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | -1.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 39 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 12-28 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 33 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 23 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 33 | 9-19 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 27 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 16 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 16 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter