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2021-05-04

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% -
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% -
Log Adjusted 47.6% 52.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -14 (104-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 9-23 5-8 5-5 6 6 1 0 28 - -
RJ Barrett * 34 5-12 1-1 4-6 7 3 0 0 15 - -
Reggie Bullock * 33 4-9 2-6 3-3 5 1 1 0 13 - -
Taj Gibson * 33 3-5 0-1 0-0 12 2 0 5 6 - -
Elfrid Payton * 17 4-8 0-1 2-2 5 2 2 0 10 - -
Derrick Rose 26 11-15 3-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 25 - -
Immanuel Quickley 16 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Alec Burks 15 4-7 1-1 0-2 2 2 0 0 9 - -
Norvel Pelle 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 3 2 - -
Obi Toppin 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 37 2-14 0-4 4-4 5 6 0 0 8 - -
Dillon Brooks * 35 8-19 5-9 4-6 1 1 2 0 25 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 34 4-8 0-0 3-3 16 1 0 3 11 - -
Kyle Anderson * 31 5-13 3-9 0-0 6 7 1 1 13 - -
Grayson Allen * 26 0-5 0-4 2-2 5 5 1 0 2 - -
Desmond Bane 26 9-13 4-7 0-0 8 2 3 0 22 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. 19 4-8 2-4 5-6 3 0 0 0 15 - -
Xavier Tillman 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Tyus Jones 9 1-1 1-1 2-3 1 2 0 0 5 - -
De'Anthony Melton 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter