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2021-05-04

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 45.5% 54.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 49.5% 50.5% +0.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% -
Efficiency 68.8% 31.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% -
Points Off/Def 58.5% 41.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -12 (94-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 35 7-10 3-5 3-3 4 4 1 0 20 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 10-13 0-0 1-1 9 3 2 0 21 - -
Ben Simmons * 33 6-7 0-0 3-5 6 5 3 0 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 32 4-13 0-3 5-6 10 3 0 3 13 - -
Danny Green * 28 5-10 4-9 0-0 4 3 4 0 14 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 3 8 - -
Shake Milton 14 3-5 2-3 1-2 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Dwight Howard 14 0-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 - -
George Hill 13 2-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Mike Scott 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daniel Theis * 40 4-10 1-2 2-2 8 3 2 0 11 - -
Coby White * 28 8-19 5-10 2-2 2 5 0 0 23 - -
Thaddeus Young * 27 6-13 0-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 13 - -
Garrett Temple * 27 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Patrick Williams * 27 2-8 0-1 1-2 7 4 2 0 5 - -
Tomas Satoransky 22 5-9 0-4 0-0 4 6 0 1 10 - -
Lauri Markkanen 16 2-8 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 5 - -
Denzel Valentine 16 3-7 3-6 2-2 2 4 0 0 11 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 16 0-1 0-1 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 11 3-4 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter