Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.9% | 72.1% | +5.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +9 (123-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 33 | 11-19 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 32 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Norman Powell * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Robert Covington * | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Carmelo Anthony | 22 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons | 19 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Enes Kanter | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rondae Hollis-Jefferson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Harry Giles III | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| T.J. Leaf | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clint Capela * | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 35 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 9-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell * | 25 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 18 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 31 | 9-15 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Solomon Hill | 18 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lou Williams | 14 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter