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2021-05-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 62.0% 38.0% -
Margin 69.5% 30.5% -4.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.8% 55.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -15 (108-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 10-19 2-6 4-4 4 0 1 2 26 - -
Draymond Green * 36 4-5 0-0 2-2 13 15 3 2 10 - -
Stephen Curry * 35 14-26 8-18 5-6 4 8 1 0 41 - -
Kent Bazemore * 31 4-10 1-5 0-0 8 2 3 2 9 - -
Kevon Looney * 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 33 6-8 2-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 14 - -
Mychal Mulder 21 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 6 - -
Jordan Poole 17 4-10 2-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Nico Mannion 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Alen Smailagic 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonzo Ball * 37 3-18 1-9 0-0 7 8 2 0 7 - -
Zion Williamson * 36 12-24 0-2 8-11 8 1 0 2 32 - -
Brandon Ingram * 35 5-11 1-4 8-8 2 4 0 0 19 - -
Eric Bledsoe * 32 4-7 1-2 2-3 5 4 1 1 11 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 25 4-5 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 10 - -
Naji Marshall 27 4-6 2-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 12 - -
James Johnson 16 3-10 0-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes 14 4-4 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Kira Lewis Jr. 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Wes Iwundu 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
James Nunnally 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 2 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 - -

* = starter