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2021-05-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% - ✗
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.5 ✗ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✗
Efficiency 36.0% 64.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 35.3% 64.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 35.3% 64.7% - ✗

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 40 12-20 8-13 5-6 2 11 1 0 37 - -
Pascal Siakam * 38 15-26 4-8 5-7 13 4 2 2 39 - -
Stanley Johnson * 29 0-5 0-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 - -
Khem Birch * 29 1-6 0-1 2-4 9 1 1 0 4 - -
Malachi Flynn * 19 0-7 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 24 5-8 0-1 4-6 8 1 3 0 14 - -
Freddie Gillespie 19 5-11 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 11 - -
Yuta Watanabe 16 2-4 1-2 1-2 4 2 0 1 6 - -
Rodney Hood 11 1-2 1-1 4-4 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Harris 9 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 33 5-16 0-3 2-3 9 7 3 1 12 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 3-6 2-3 2-2 1 4 2 0 10 - -
LeBron James * 27 6-11 2-5 5-7 7 6 0 0 19 - -
Alex Caruso * 26 3-9 1-4 0-2 4 5 0 0 7 - -
Andre Drummond * 25 8-14 0-0 3-4 11 1 1 0 19 - -
Kyle Kuzma 35 8-16 6-11 2-2 3 0 1 2 24 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 21 5-8 0-1 4-7 3 7 0 0 14 - -
Montrezl Harrell 17 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 2 9 - -
Markieff Morris 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 - -
Ben McLemore 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter