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2021-05-03

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Margin 51.8% 48.2% -0.4 ✓ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - ✓
Efficiency 73.3% 26.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 68.4% 31.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -2 (111-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 36 3-10 0-3 0-0 5 5 0 2 6 - -
Seth Curry * 35 8-10 6-6 0-0 5 1 2 0 22 - -
Danny Green * 34 4-13 3-12 0-0 5 3 1 1 11 - -
Joel Embiid * 34 13-23 1-3 7-7 12 1 0 0 34 - -
Ben Simmons * 34 2-6 0-0 1-5 6 5 2 0 5 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 2-5 1-3 0-1 0 0 1 2 5 - -
George Hill 19 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Dwight Howard 18 5-11 0-0 4-4 11 1 0 3 14 - -
Shake Milton 17 3-6 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 13 1-7 0-3 1-2 2 4 1 1 3 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 37 7-18 2-4 3-5 6 5 3 0 19 - -
Rudy Gay * 36 7-17 2-6 2-2 10 2 2 0 18 - -
Devin Vassell * 22 1-6 0-3 2-2 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Drew Eubanks * 21 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Tre Jones * 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Gorgui Dieng 31 5-6 3-4 4-4 4 3 2 0 17 - -
Patty Mills 31 2-10 2-8 0-0 4 4 2 1 6 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 31 9-19 3-6 2-2 0 2 0 1 23 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 15 2-2 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 1 4 - -
Luka Samanic 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -

* = starter