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2021-05-03

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% -
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.3 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% -
Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 72.9% 27.1% -
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% -
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -25 (97-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 40 7-16 3-7 4-5 7 5 2 0 21 - -
Julius Randle * 30 13-22 4-9 1-1 7 6 1 0 31 - -
Reggie Bullock * 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Elfrid Payton * 13 3-6 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 7 - -
Nerlens Noel * 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Taj Gibson 31 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 6 - -
Derrick Rose 31 8-11 4-5 4-4 6 4 1 0 24 - -
Immanuel Quickley 22 5-9 3-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 13 - -
Obi Toppin 16 1-4 0-1 3-4 3 1 1 1 5 - -
Norvel Pelle 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 4 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jared Harper 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 36 6-13 0-4 2-6 6 6 1 0 14 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 35 5-10 1-4 6-7 10 7 3 1 17 - -
Christian Wood * 35 6-14 0-5 7-11 8 3 0 1 19 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 29 3-11 0-3 2-4 7 1 0 0 8 - -
Avery Bradley * 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 7 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 31 5-9 1-2 2-2 6 0 0 1 13 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 19 3-6 3-6 0-0 4 0 1 1 9 - -
Armoni Brooks 17 1-7 1-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Anthony Lamb 13 2-4 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 1 7 - -

* = starter