Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 42 | 9-19 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 18 | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 24 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 31 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Terence Davis | 21 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - | |
| Justin James | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Jahmi'us Ramsey | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 11-22 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 22 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 25 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Trey Burke | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - | |
| JJ Redick | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | |
| Josh Green | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter