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2021-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% -
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% -
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -
Points Off/Def 44.5% 55.5% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -10 (119-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 39 8-18 3-9 7-7 6 13 1 1 26 - -
Norman Powell * 38 8-15 4-6 3-4 2 3 1 1 23 - -
CJ McCollum * 37 12-20 4-8 5-6 5 5 0 1 33 - -
Robert Covington * 31 3-6 3-6 1-2 4 1 1 2 10 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 28 6-10 1-1 1-1 11 4 2 0 14 - -
Carmelo Anthony 26 5-9 3-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 13 - -
Anfernee Simons 19 1-3 1-3 2-2 0 1 1 0 5 - -
Enes Kanter 17 1-4 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 0 5 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 36 11-19 4-5 7-7 2 5 0 1 33 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 4-14 3-9 0-0 8 8 0 0 11 - -
Jaylen Brown * 34 6-22 1-9 3-4 11 4 0 0 16 - -
Evan Fournier * 33 8-10 5-7 0-0 5 3 2 0 21 - -
Tristan Thompson * 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 3 2 - -
Robert Williams III 24 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 5 1 2 5 - -
Aaron Nesmith 20 6-7 4-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 16 - -
Payton Pritchard 18 4-6 3-5 2-2 6 0 0 0 13 - -
Romeo Langford 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Tremont Waters 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter