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2021-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 22.5% 77.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% - ✓
Margin 28.6% 71.4% +5.0 ✓ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✓
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% - ✓

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 39 16-33 7-13 3-4 10 2 1 0 42 - -
Kyrie Irving * 36 8-21 2-8 2-2 7 6 2 0 20 - -
Joe Harris * 34 2-7 1-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Jeff Green * 33 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 7 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 23 4-7 0-0 2-3 11 0 1 1 10 - -
Landry Shamet 27 5-9 4-7 3-3 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Blake Griffin 18 4-8 2-4 1-1 7 1 0 0 11 - -
Tyler Johnson 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Mike James 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Bruce Brown 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Alize Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 36 11-21 3-7 1-1 11 6 2 0 26 - -
Jrue Holiday * 36 7-16 3-8 1-4 5 4 1 1 18 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 21-36 4-8 3-6 8 4 1 3 49 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 0-5 0-2 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 2-7 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 5 4 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 3 1 3 - -
P.J. Tucker 23 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Bryn Forbes 18 4-7 3-5 1-1 1 0 0 0 12 - -
Jeff Teague 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter