🐻⬇️🏀

@
2021-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets LA Clippers Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% -
Log Adjusted 45.0% 55.0% -
Points Off/Def 40.9% 59.1% -

Actual: LA Clippers -6 (104-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Porter Jr. * 36 10-16 4-7 1-1 7 5 0 0 25 - -
PJ Dozier * 33 7-15 1-6 1-1 5 1 0 0 16 - -
Nikola Jokic * 33 9-17 2-6 10-10 14 7 0 1 30 - -
Facundo Campazzo * 32 2-4 2-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Aaron Gordon * 28 2-5 0-2 3-4 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Austin Rivers 25 1-7 1-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 3 - -
JaMychal Green 19 3-6 2-3 1-1 7 2 0 1 9 - -
Shaquille Harrison 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Paul Millsap 14 5-10 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 10 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paul George * 37 5-21 3-8 7-11 7 2 1 0 20 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 30 7-12 2-3 0-0 5 6 0 0 16 - -
Reggie Jackson * 30 5-12 3-7 2-2 3 1 3 0 15 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 28 2-6 1-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 8 - -
Ivica Zubac * 24 1-3 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 0 6 - -
Rajon Rondo 30 8-12 2-5 0-0 5 5 2 1 18 - -
Nicolas Batum 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 - -
DeMarcus Cousins 14 6-9 2-3 2-2 3 1 1 1 16 - -
Terance Mann 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Patrick Patterson 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kennard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter