Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (125-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 40 | 17-30 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 36 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 28 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Alex Len * | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 25 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chandler Hutchison | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 40 | 8-12 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 12-23 | 1-6 | 6-11 | 12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 27 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 26 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter