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2021-05-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.3% 40.7% - ✗
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 ✗ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 62.3% 37.7% - ✗
Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% - ✗
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 65.9% 34.1% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (112-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 31 9-20 2-6 3-4 1 1 0 0 23 - -
Ja Morant * 31 8-18 2-3 4-4 3 7 0 1 22 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 30 5-10 0-0 1-4 16 3 1 3 11 - -
Desmond Bane * 30 2-5 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 5 - -
Kyle Anderson * 27 7-12 3-5 4-5 4 2 2 0 21 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. 21 3-6 0-2 1-1 7 0 0 2 7 - -
De'Anthony Melton 18 3-10 1-5 0-0 6 3 2 3 7 - -
Xavier Tillman 16 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 - -
Tyus Jones 16 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 1 7 - -
Justise Winslow 14 2-5 0-1 0-3 7 1 0 0 4 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwayne Bacon * 35 9-15 0-4 5-5 2 2 3 0 23 - -
Cole Anthony * 35 6-15 4-6 10-11 8 6 3 0 26 - -
Moritz Wagner * 34 8-15 4-6 4-4 5 0 0 2 24 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 26 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Gary Harris * 23 2-7 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 5 - -
R.J. Hampton 30 7-14 2-3 2-2 7 5 2 1 18 - -
Mo Bamba 21 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 4 - -
Chasson Randle 18 1-6 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Donta Hall 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter