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2021-05-01

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Log Adjusted 27.4% 72.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -4 (106-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 38 8-14 4-8 3-3 4 10 2 1 23 - -
Buddy Hield * 32 1-11 0-5 0-0 6 7 2 0 2 - -
Richaun Holmes * 30 9-14 0-1 4-5 9 3 0 1 22 - -
Maurice Harkless * 29 2-6 0-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Chimezie Metu * 13 3-5 1-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Delon Wright 26 4-11 3-5 0-0 6 7 1 1 11 - -
Terence Davis 23 5-12 3-7 2-2 1 0 2 0 15 - -
Marvin Bagley III 20 4-9 1-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 11 - -
Damian Jones 17 3-4 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Justin James 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Schroder * 36 4-13 0-5 0-0 6 7 2 0 8 - -
Anthony Davis * 34 9-19 1-4 3-3 11 3 0 5 22 - -
LeBron James * 31 6-12 1-5 3-5 8 7 2 1 16 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 2-8 0-5 2-2 0 2 3 0 6 - -
Andre Drummond * 24 7-11 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 2 17 - -
Kyle Kuzma 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 3 2 - -
Montrezl Harrell 14 3-4 0-0 3-6 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Ben McLemore 14 4-7 4-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 12 - -
Markieff Morris 13 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 9 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Marc Gasol 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter