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2021-05-01

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.8% 48.2% -
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 53.4% 46.6% -
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% -
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -10 (98-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brook Lopez * 33 9-15 0-1 4-5 2 3 0 4 22 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 8-24 3-8 3-3 8 6 0 0 22 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 7-17 1-5 1-2 2 7 1 0 16 - -
Bobby Portis * 28 7-10 1-2 1-2 14 1 2 1 16 - -
Bryn Forbes * 26 4-9 2-4 0-0 13 1 1 0 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 26 2-5 2-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 - -
Jeff Teague 23 3-5 0-0 5-5 0 4 0 0 11 - -
P.J. Tucker 21 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Nwora 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 36 7-27 1-9 2-2 15 4 1 1 17 - -
Patrick Williams * 35 2-6 0-1 1-4 5 0 1 1 5 - -
Coby White * 34 6-15 4-8 5-5 1 7 1 1 21 - -
Garrett Temple * 32 2-7 1-5 1-1 1 3 0 1 6 - -
Daniel Theis * 25 7-9 1-1 1-3 10 0 0 0 16 - -
Tomas Satoransky 22 6-7 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 13 - -
Thaddeus Young 18 2-10 0-0 4-6 7 4 0 1 8 - -
Denzel Valentine 16 2-9 1-4 0-0 5 3 1 0 5 - -
Al-Farouq Aminu 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Devon Dotson 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Adam Mokoka 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter