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2021-05-01

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 59.3% 40.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 31.7% 68.3% -
Efficiency 15.1% 84.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% -
Points Off/Def 23.1% 76.9% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +17 (92-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Harris * 30 3-11 1-3 1-1 3 4 3 0 8 - -
Cole Anthony * 29 7-14 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Moritz Wagner * 27 0-7 0-3 5-6 7 1 0 2 5 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 22 3-11 0-2 2-3 8 2 0 0 8 - -
James Ennis III * 16 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Dwayne Bacon 32 2-12 0-1 1-1 3 1 1 0 5 - -
Mo Bamba 23 6-9 2-3 1-2 11 1 0 4 15 - -
R.J. Hampton 22 3-8 1-4 4-4 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Chasson Randle 18 1-8 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Donta Hall 17 1-3 0-0 0-1 11 1 0 0 2 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 33 7-18 3-9 3-4 2 2 1 0 20 - -
Ja Morant * 32 3-12 1-4 1-2 5 6 3 0 8 - -
Kyle Anderson * 28 6-14 1-4 0-0 6 2 1 3 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 26 5-8 1-1 3-4 15 2 1 1 14 - -
Desmond Bane * 20 3-10 1-7 0-0 5 1 0 0 7 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 1-8 1-5 1-1 5 1 0 3 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 19 3-6 2-3 0-0 8 2 2 1 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 4-6 0-1 1-1 3 2 2 0 9 - -
Tyus Jones 16 1-7 1-2 2-2 3 5 0 0 5 - -
Justise Winslow 10 1-7 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -
John Konchar 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Jontay Porter 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Sean McDermott 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Killian Tillie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter