Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (143-140). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 42 | 7-21 | 0-2 | 16-19 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 42 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 42 | 10-18 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 33 | 9-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills | 21 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 17 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 45 | 20-37 | 5-7 | 15-17 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 60 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 43 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 43 | 5-24 | 4-12 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 30 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 29 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tremont Waters | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter