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2021-04-30

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% - ✓
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 ✓ (19.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% - ✓
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +22 (126-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Solomon Hill * 35 0-1 0-1 3-4 9 1 0 1 3 - -
Trae Young * 28 10-19 2-6 10-10 1 4 0 0 32 - -
John Collins * 26 4-11 2-6 1-1 4 1 0 2 11 - -
Tony Snell * 24 2-5 2-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 6 - -
Clint Capela * 16 5-11 0-0 1-3 15 1 1 0 11 - -
Danilo Gallinari 24 5-10 4-6 2-2 1 2 0 0 16 - -
Lou Williams 22 0-7 0-1 2-4 3 2 0 1 2 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 21 5-7 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 2 12 - -
Kris Dunn 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Brandon Goodwin 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Fernando 6 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Nathan Knight 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Skylar Mays 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simmons * 26 8-10 0-0 2-2 6 5 1 1 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 24 6-14 1-2 5-5 6 1 1 1 18 - -
Seth Curry * 23 1-7 1-4 4-4 6 3 0 0 7 - -
Tobias Harris * 23 7-13 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 18 - -
Danny Green * 20 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 0 1 1 5 - -
Matisse Thybulle 22 5-8 0-2 0-0 1 5 4 0 10 - -
Shake Milton 21 5-11 2-3 1-1 1 4 0 0 13 - -
George Hill 19 0-6 0-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 17 8-11 0-0 3-6 11 1 0 2 19 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 17 4-9 3-7 0-0 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Tyrese Maxey 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Mike Scott 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Paul Reed 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter