Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khem Birch * | 36 | 8-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 34 | 8-21 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 33 | 7-16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeAndre' Bembry | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Freddie Gillespie | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Rodney Hood | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Harris | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 8-19 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier * | 27 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 26 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 21 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 18 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter