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2021-04-30

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 49.8% 50.2% +0.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Log Adjusted 65.9% 34.1% -
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (126-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 38 11-20 3-6 2-3 4 3 0 2 27 - -
Draymond Green * 36 5-6 1-1 0-0 5 5 3 3 11 - -
Stephen Curry * 36 11-27 6-17 9-9 6 8 2 0 37 - -
Kent Bazemore * 32 3-9 2-3 2-4 10 2 3 1 10 - -
Kevon Looney * 28 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 5 0 1 7 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 27 2-2 1-1 1-4 4 1 2 0 6 - -
Mychal Mulder 24 5-12 1-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Jordan Poole 15 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 34 10-19 3-6 2-3 5 3 0 1 25 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 32 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 4 1 0 8 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 32 6-18 3-7 7-10 11 7 0 0 22 - -
Ricky Rubio * 31 7-13 5-8 7-7 6 6 2 0 26 - -
Josh Okogie * 18 1-3 0-1 4-4 6 0 0 0 6 - -
D'Angelo Russell 24 3-11 1-5 0-2 2 8 1 0 7 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 23 3-6 3-4 0-0 7 0 1 0 9 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 15 6-9 1-2 0-3 5 0 0 1 13 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 11 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -

* = starter