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2021-04-30

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 33.4% 66.6% -
Bradley-Terry 59.8% 40.2% -
Margin 61.7% 38.3% -2.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% -
Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Log Adjusted 80.5% 19.5% -
Points Off/Def 69.4% 30.6% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (143-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 37 9-21 5-10 10-10 4 8 1 0 33 - -
Jrue Holiday * 37 12-19 1-4 4-6 4 10 2 4 29 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 7-11 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 1 15 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 0 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 - -
P.J. Tucker 30 2-3 2-3 0-0 6 0 2 0 6 - -
Bryn Forbes 28 11-17 6-10 2-2 0 0 1 0 30 - -
Bobby Portis 23 4-8 0-0 2-2 11 3 4 0 10 - -
Pat Connaughton 17 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Jeff Teague 10 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Porter Jr. * 41 16-26 9-15 9-11 5 11 0 1 50 - -
Christian Wood * 39 10-21 6-10 5-6 9 4 1 1 31 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 38 9-17 3-5 3-3 13 4 2 1 24 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 37 5-11 2-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 12 - -
Armoni Brooks * 19 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 1 6 - -
D.J. Wilson 25 5-11 3-5 2-2 12 1 0 0 15 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 19 2-5 0-2 1-2 5 0 1 1 5 - -
DaQuan Jeffries 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -
Anthony Lamb 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter