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2021-04-29

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 ✗ (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.7% 47.3% - ✓
Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 64.9% 35.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.9% 35.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% - ✓

Actual: Indiana Pacers -17 (113-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 36 16-24 2-4 8-8 3 10 1 0 42 - -
Jeff Green * 31 4-7 0-1 6-7 7 5 1 0 14 - -
Landry Shamet * 30 5-9 3-7 1-1 3 4 0 1 14 - -
Tyler Johnson * 26 4-9 3-8 0-0 3 3 1 0 11 - -
Joe Harris * 24 5-10 3-6 1-2 3 0 0 1 14 - -
Alize Johnson 32 7-12 0-1 6-6 21 3 0 2 20 - -
Mike James 25 0-7 0-4 1-2 3 7 0 0 1 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 19 3-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 - -
Blake Griffin 13 2-5 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 1 5 - -
Reggie Perry 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 36 14-24 5-9 3-3 4 5 0 0 36 - -
Oshae Brissett * 35 4-10 2-5 4-4 9 1 2 3 14 - -
Edmond Sumner * 22 6-9 1-2 3-3 1 1 0 0 16 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 20 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 8 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 12 0-5 0-3 1-2 4 2 0 0 1 - -
Doug McDermott 32 6-11 1-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 15 - -
Aaron Holiday 25 3-9 2-5 4-4 5 3 2 1 12 - -
Justin Holiday 20 1-7 0-6 2-2 0 1 0 1 4 - -
T.J. McConnell 20 2-8 0-1 0-0 2 5 3 0 4 - -
Kelan Martin 12 1-6 0-3 1-1 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Cassius Stanley 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Amida Brimah 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter