Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.9% | 41.1% | -2.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -10 (105-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 13-23 | 6-10 | 10-10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 31 | 3-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 20 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 28 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 10 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Sekou Doumbouya * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 28 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 26 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jahlil Okafor | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Cook | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter