Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.1% | 80.9% | +7.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +2 (114-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 11-22 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Zion Williamson * | 30 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Eric Bledsoe * | 27 | 7-12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kira Lewis Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 39 | 12-21 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 36 | 12-20 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 32 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 36 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 26 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 18 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter