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2021-04-29

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 70.4% 29.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 32.9% 67.1% - ✗
Margin 19.9% 80.1% +7.7 ✗ (28.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - ✗
Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 42.7% 57.3% - ✗

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -21 (109-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 36 8-14 2-6 6-6 5 4 1 1 24 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 10-15 4-6 2-3 4 6 1 0 26 - -
Robert Covington * 32 0-6 0-4 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 - -
Damian Lillard * 31 6-15 2-9 9-9 3 5 2 0 23 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 21 5-10 0-0 5-6 9 0 1 1 15 - -
Carmelo Anthony 22 7-11 4-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 18 - -
Anfernee Simons 21 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 1 8 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 - -
Enes Kanter 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 6 - -
Nassir Little 5 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Harry Giles III 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
CJ Elleby 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Keljin Blevins 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 3-11 2-4 2-2 3 8 1 1 10 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 24 8-13 1-2 2-2 6 1 0 1 19 - -
Grayson Allen * 21 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 7 - -
Dillon Brooks * 21 6-10 1-4 5-5 2 1 1 0 18 - -
Kyle Anderson * 20 1-5 0-1 4-6 4 3 3 0 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. 24 4-15 2-10 3-4 5 2 0 2 13 - -
De'Anthony Melton 22 2-4 0-2 2-2 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 3-7 0-1 2-2 10 0 1 0 8 - -
Desmond Bane 19 3-9 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Justise Winslow 15 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 3 0 2 5 - -
John Konchar 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 5 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Tyus Jones 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Killian Tillie 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter