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2021-04-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 ✓ (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% - ✓
Efficiency 37.6% 62.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.8% 63.2% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +19 (113-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 37 10-22 3-7 3-4 18 3 0 2 26 - -
Coby White * 35 5-13 2-6 0-0 2 9 0 1 12 - -
Garrett Temple * 34 5-6 2-2 0-0 3 5 0 1 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 22 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Daniel Theis * 20 3-9 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Thaddeus Young 28 5-11 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 0 10 - -
Lauri Markkanen 25 5-9 2-6 2-2 6 0 0 0 14 - -
Tomas Satoransky 22 3-7 0-1 0-1 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Cristiano Felicio 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Javonte Green 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Adam Mokoka 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Denzel Valentine 1 0-0 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 41 9-15 3-5 1-2 7 6 2 1 22 - -
Julius Randle * 36 12-23 4-7 6-6 7 3 0 1 34 - -
Reggie Bullock * 35 4-8 3-5 2-3 4 2 0 0 13 - -
Nerlens Noel * 29 3-6 0-1 2-2 8 3 4 5 8 - -
Elfrid Payton * 21 4-10 1-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 9 - -
Derrick Rose 25 2-11 0-1 2-2 1 6 1 1 6 - -
Taj Gibson 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 4 - -
Immanuel Quickley 16 4-10 1-5 4-4 2 1 2 0 13 - -
Obi Toppin 10 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Jared Harper 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Frank Ntilikina 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Norvel Pelle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kevin Knox II 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Theo Pinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter