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2021-04-28

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (41.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.4% 57.6% -
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +44 (127-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Goodwin * 32 2-11 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Lou Williams * 30 2-7 0-1 6-7 8 5 1 0 10 - -
Solomon Hill * 30 4-10 2-4 4-4 5 4 0 0 14 - -
John Collins * 28 8-11 2-2 3-4 4 2 0 0 21 - -
Clint Capela * 24 4-13 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 2 9 - -
Skylar Mays 22 5-8 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Danilo Gallinari 21 1-9 0-2 2-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 - -
Kris Dunn 14 1-6 0-1 3-4 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Nathan Knight 9 0-3 0-1 4-4 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Bruno Fernando 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 25 6-12 1-2 4-4 7 6 0 1 17 - -
Danny Green * 25 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 1 5 - -
Joel Embiid * 25 7-16 1-3 2-2 7 1 1 3 17 - -
Seth Curry * 25 8-12 4-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 20 - -
Ben Simmons * 15 4-5 0-0 0-2 4 6 2 0 8 - -
George Hill 22 3-7 1-4 0-1 6 3 0 0 7 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 16 4-6 4-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 16 1-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 3 2 - -
Dwight Howard 14 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 13 3-8 0-1 6-7 6 6 2 0 12 - -
Tyrese Maxey 13 5-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Mike Scott 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 - -
Paul Reed 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 2 - -
Isaiah Joe 5 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Anthony Tolliver 5 0-1 0-1 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter