Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (33.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -30 (103-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burke * | 31 | 2-13 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 15-23 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 39 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 18 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 18 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyler Bey | 8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nate Hinton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 30 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 9-10 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mychal Mulder * | 30 | 10-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 9-18 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 23 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 22 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter