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2021-04-27

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 16.3% 83.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.5% 56.5% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% -
Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.6% 35.4% -
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% -
Points Off/Def 56.0% 44.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -13 (103-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Green * 36 8-16 3-9 3-3 8 1 1 1 22 - -
Kyrie Irving * 34 3-13 1-5 2-2 6 4 1 1 9 - -
Landry Shamet * 33 5-12 2-7 2-2 2 3 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Durant * 32 5-7 3-5 4-4 10 4 2 2 17 - -
Joe Harris * 32 6-13 4-9 0-0 3 6 2 1 16 - -
Tyler Johnson 26 3-6 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 10 - -
Blake Griffin 22 6-11 2-4 3-3 6 1 2 1 17 - -
Mike James 21 4-5 1-1 2-2 3 8 0 0 11 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 42 4-17 3-12 0-0 6 5 0 0 11 - -
Kyle Lowry * 37 8-14 6-9 2-2 2 6 0 1 24 - -
Pascal Siakam * 35 2-16 0-5 6-6 7 2 1 0 10 - -
Khem Birch * 32 5-9 0-1 3-4 14 1 0 1 13 - -
OG Anunoby * 31 9-15 3-5 0-1 6 6 2 0 21 - -
Malachi Flynn 20 4-8 1-5 4-4 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Yuta Watanabe 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Freddie Gillespie 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Stanley Johnson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -
Rodney Hood 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter