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2021-04-27

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 74.7% 25.3% -
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% -
Margin 34.5% 65.5% +3.5 (24.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% -
Efficiency 49.9% 50.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.0% 47.0% -
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% -
Points Off/Def 47.3% 52.7% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers -21 (112-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damian Lillard * 31 6-14 4-8 7-7 4 6 1 0 23 - -
Robert Covington * 29 6-12 3-5 0-0 11 1 0 2 15 - -
CJ McCollum * 24 9-13 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 1 20 - -
Norman Powell * 19 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 19 4-10 0-0 3-5 10 4 1 1 11 - -
Anfernee Simons 24 9-13 9-10 0-0 4 4 2 0 27 - -
Carmelo Anthony 16 5-6 1-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 13 - -
Nassir Little 16 0-5 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Enes Kanter 15 6-14 0-0 0-0 14 3 0 1 12 - -
T.J. Leaf 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Harry Giles III 9 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
CJ Elleby 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Keljin Blevins 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Oshae Brissett * 39 5-11 4-7 4-6 10 1 2 5 18 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 27 5-14 1-7 7-7 4 4 0 0 18 - -
Caris LeVert * 23 7-14 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 2 16 - -
JaKarr Sampson * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 6 - -
Edmond Sumner * 20 1-6 1-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 4 - -
Justin Holiday 23 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
T.J. McConnell 22 4-8 1-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 9 - -
Aaron Holiday 21 1-7 0-2 2-2 0 5 1 1 4 - -
Doug McDermott 14 6-9 0-2 1-3 3 1 1 0 13 - -
Amida Brimah 8 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 6 - -
Kelan Martin 8 3-4 2-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Cassius Stanley 7 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter