Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +7 (113-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 8-20 | 4-12 | 4-6 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 28 | 8-20 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 28 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 17 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 35 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 30 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes * | 25 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 23 | 7-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 21 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terence Davis | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Chimezie Metu | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 11 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter