Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +24 (120-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 10-15 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 20 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jontay Porter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 12-19 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 28 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 14 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter