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2021-04-26

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% - ✓
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 ✗ (16.2 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% - ✓
Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.3% 77.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.7% 72.3% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +16 (112-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cedi Osman * 38 2-9 2-7 0-0 5 4 3 1 6 - -
Darius Garland * 33 5-13 1-5 2-2 2 10 1 0 13 - -
Isaac Okoro * 32 8-16 1-8 3-4 6 0 0 0 20 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 7-11 0-0 1-1 7 2 1 0 15 - -
Kevin Love * 24 3-9 0-4 5-5 7 4 0 0 11 - -
Dean Wade 31 3-8 1-5 2-2 4 2 0 1 9 - -
Damyean Dotson 23 4-9 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 11 - -
Brodric Thomas 16 3-5 3-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 9 - -
Mfiondu Kabengele 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Lowry * 33 3-9 1-6 2-2 5 10 0 1 9 - -
OG Anunoby * 32 9-15 0-5 2-2 5 2 1 1 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 31 11-19 2-5 1-2 5 4 0 1 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 31 3-10 1-5 1-2 5 6 1 0 8 - -
Khem Birch * 29 7-9 0-2 0-0 6 1 2 2 14 - -
Malachi Flynn 24 4-6 2-4 8-8 5 5 2 0 18 - -
Yuta Watanabe 19 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Freddie Gillespie 13 1-2 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Stanley Johnson 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
DeAndre' Bembry 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -
Rodney Hood 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter