Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -3 (143-146). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 41 | 12-23 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 40 | 12-23 | 0-0 | 13-13 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 26 | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 38 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Derrick White * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Patty Mills | 32 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 20 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Westbrook * | 42 | 9-26 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 25 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 41 | 20-37 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45 | 12 | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 31 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Raul Neto * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Alex Len * | 23 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 34 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 13 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter