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2021-04-26

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - ✓
Margin 19.3% 80.7% +7.9 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Efficiency 30.8% 69.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.7% 66.3% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (117-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 40 8-16 5-9 2-2 7 2 0 1 23 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 37 10-20 2-7 2-2 3 8 1 0 24 - -
Buddy Hield * 36 9-13 6-8 1-1 6 3 1 0 25 - -
Maurice Harkless * 30 3-8 0-4 1-1 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Richaun Holmes * 22 4-6 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 1 11 - -
Delon Wright 27 2-5 0-2 3-4 6 5 2 0 7 - -
Chimezie Metu 17 2-8 0-0 3-3 1 1 2 3 7 - -
Terence Davis 15 2-8 1-6 1-2 6 2 1 0 6 - -
Damian Jones 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Kyle Guy 3 1-2 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 37 6-15 1-2 0-0 6 6 2 0 13 - -
Stephen Curry * 37 11-21 7-14 8-11 7 4 1 1 37 - -
Draymond Green * 36 4-6 0-1 0-0 14 13 1 1 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 25 4-12 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 8 - -
Mychal Mulder * 14 4-8 3-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 11 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 31 5-8 0-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 10 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 31 8-17 1-7 2-2 7 0 0 0 19 - -
Jordan Poole 20 1-5 1-3 1-2 5 1 1 1 4 - -
Gary Payton II 5 3-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter