Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -19 (112-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmond Sumner * | 36 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 29 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| JaKarr Sampson * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 27 | 7-11 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 20 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 20 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Amida Brimah | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cassius Stanley | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 32 | 2-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 31 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 29 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 20 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 24 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Chasson Randle | 21 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robert Franks | 18 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Donta Hall | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Cannady | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter