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2021-04-25

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 34.7% 65.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% - ✓
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 ✗ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✗
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 57.6% 42.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 57.7% 42.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 50.8% 49.2% - ✗

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (111-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 11-17 1-3 8-10 14 4 1 2 31 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 8-11 0-1 3-5 5 11 2 0 19 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 9-18 3-5 2-2 6 2 1 0 23 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 30 2-7 0-3 1-1 6 0 1 1 5 - -
Brook Lopez * 28 4-9 1-4 2-3 1 0 0 3 11 - -
Pat Connaughton 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 22 3-7 2-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Bryn Forbes 14 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Jeff Teague 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 36 12-21 6-11 2-3 1 3 3 0 32 - -
Clint Capela * 34 2-6 0-0 2-2 14 1 1 0 6 - -
Solomon Hill * 33 1-8 0-4 0-0 12 1 0 0 2 - -
John Collins * 31 7-12 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 1 18 - -
Kevin Huerter * 29 9-14 1-5 1-2 2 3 1 0 20 - -
Lou Williams 25 5-12 4-7 1-2 3 6 0 0 15 - -
Danilo Gallinari 20 3-8 1-3 8-8 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Brandon Goodwin 18 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 5 0 0 3 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter