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2021-04-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.6% 32.4% -
Margin 79.8% 20.2% -7.6 (28.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.2% 42.8% -
Log Adjusted 57.2% 42.8% -
Points Off/Def 50.5% 49.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +21 (125-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 34 8-22 2-7 2-2 8 2 2 0 20 - -
Jayson Tatum * 32 6-16 1-5 6-7 11 2 1 0 19 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 5-11 3-7 4-4 1 4 1 1 17 - -
Kemba Walker * 29 7-17 3-9 3-5 6 4 2 0 20 - -
Tristan Thompson * 25 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Evan Fournier 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Grant Williams 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 15 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jabari Parker 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 4 - -
Aaron Nesmith 8 1-3 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Carsen Edwards 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Romeo Langford 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Tremont Waters 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 38 8-12 4-6 2-3 12 5 1 1 22 - -
Miles Bridges * 33 7-14 4-8 2-2 6 3 0 1 20 - -
Terry Rozier * 32 8-18 5-9 0-0 5 11 1 1 21 - -
Cody Martin * 31 5-9 1-2 2-2 10 5 1 2 13 - -
Devonte' Graham * 31 7-14 6-11 4-4 2 9 0 0 24 - -
Brad Wanamaker 24 6-12 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 12 - -
Bismack Biyombo 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 1 4 - -
Jalen McDaniels 19 2-8 0-3 0-0 1 2 2 1 4 - -
Grant Riller 1 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Caleb Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Nick Richards 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter