Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (129-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Brooks * | 42 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 41 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-8 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| D.J. Wilson * | 39 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 34 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 11-11 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 21 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 30 | 8-14 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| DaQuan Jeffries | 29 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 13-21 | 8-12 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 39 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 33 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 29 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| PJ Dozier * | 27 | 10-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 29 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter