Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (108-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder * | 36 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore * | 29 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 28 | 5-19 | 0-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 19 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marc Gasol | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 32 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 29 | 2-13 | 1-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 28 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nicolo Melli | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter