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2021-04-24

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (34.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +38 (132-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 25 4-10 1-3 0-0 9 2 1 2 9 - -
Seth Curry * 25 5-11 2-5 1-1 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Danny Green * 21 1-5 1-5 2-2 4 2 2 0 5 - -
George Hill * 16 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Mike Scott * 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 26 6-16 1-4 2-5 3 3 1 0 15 - -
Dwight Howard 24 5-8 0-0 2-3 12 1 2 1 12 - -
Matisse Thybulle 23 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 3 0 2 - -
Anthony Tolliver 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -
Tyrese Maxey 21 5-13 0-5 5-6 2 0 0 1 15 - -
Rayjon Tucker 6 1-1 1-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Mason Jones 5 0-1 0-0 5-7 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Joe 5 0-2 0-1 3-4 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jrue Holiday * 27 5-12 2-4 0-1 3 5 4 0 12 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 23 9-12 1-3 5-10 14 7 2 1 24 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 21 4-7 3-5 0-0 4 2 1 1 11 - -
Khris Middleton * 19 0-6 0-2 4-4 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Brook Lopez * 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 2 5 - -
Pat Connaughton 22 4-8 2-6 1-1 6 1 0 0 11 - -
Bobby Portis 19 8-14 1-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 17 - -
P.J. Tucker 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Bryn Forbes 17 5-8 2-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 13 - -
Jeff Teague 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 8 1 0 1 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 5 0 0 4 - -
Jordan Nwora 8 4-6 3-4 2-2 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Mamadi Diakite 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Sam Merrill 5 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
Rodions Kurucs 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter