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2021-04-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% - ✓
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 ✓ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% - ✓
Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks +17 (120-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 40 10-20 5-10 2-2 5 11 2 0 27 - -
Pascal Siakam * 40 8-19 5-9 5-6 7 5 1 0 26 - -
OG Anunoby * 38 9-16 6-11 3-4 5 3 2 0 27 - -
Kyle Lowry * 36 1-10 0-8 2-2 7 9 0 1 4 - -
Khem Birch * 32 4-5 0-1 0-2 7 1 1 2 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 18 2-8 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 14 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Freddie Gillespie 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Malachi Flynn 5 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 0 0 0 2 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 39 10-17 5-7 6-8 10 1 0 0 31 - -
RJ Barrett * 38 8-16 3-7 6-7 12 4 0 0 25 - -
Reggie Bullock * 37 6-10 3-7 1-1 3 2 0 0 16 - -
Nerlens Noel * 29 0-1 0-0 1-1 5 1 2 4 1 - -
Elfrid Payton * 14 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Derrick Rose 33 7-10 0-1 5-6 4 7 2 0 19 - -
Immanuel Quickley 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Taj Gibson 18 4-5 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 0 9 - -
Obi Toppin 8 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -

* = starter