Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.8% | 59.2% | +2.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +21 (118-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 36 | 8-18 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - | |
| Will Barton * | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| PJ Dozier | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 22 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Shaquille Harrison | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Paul Millsap | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - | |
| Markus Howard | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Bol Bol | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 11-18 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 25 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | |
| Mychal Mulder * | 22 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 32 | 9-16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 25 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 25 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - | |
| Gary Payton II | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Nico Mannion | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Alen Smailagic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter