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2021-04-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 83.7% 16.3% -
Bradley-Terry 57.2% 42.8% -
Margin 70.0% 30.0% -4.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.1% 57.9% -
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.8% 66.2% -

Actual: Brooklyn Nets +5 (109-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 14-27 6-12 4-7 10 4 0 0 38 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 7-17 2-10 3-3 5 3 2 0 19 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 3-9 0-0 2-4 9 0 1 2 8 - -
Romeo Langford * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Semi Ojeleye * 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 23 8-12 6-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 22 - -
Evan Fournier 22 0-7 0-3 2-2 2 5 1 1 2 - -
Grant Williams 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith 16 2-5 1-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 5 - -
Jabari Parker 12 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 2 - -
Luke Kornet 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Carsen Edwards 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeff Green * 35 5-11 3-5 6-6 2 3 2 1 19 - -
Joe Harris * 34 6-12 4-7 4-4 4 3 0 2 20 - -
Kyrie Irving * 34 4-19 0-6 7-7 9 11 4 1 15 - -
Landry Shamet * 30 3-8 1-4 2-2 3 0 2 0 9 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 24 3-5 0-0 2-3 11 3 1 3 8 - -
Bruce Brown 27 7-8 1-2 0-2 8 1 0 0 15 - -
Blake Griffin 23 5-11 1-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 13 - -
Mike James 21 3-8 1-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 - -

* = starter