Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Schroder * | 37 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 9-17 | 6-12 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Andre Drummond * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 16 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Caruso | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 21 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 17 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 9-21 | 3-9 | 9-11 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JJ Redick | 10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter