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2021-04-23

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 26.7% 73.3% -
Bradley-Terry 31.3% 68.7% -
Margin 29.4% 70.6% +4.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Log Adjusted 42.4% 57.6% -
Points Off/Def 40.2% 59.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +17 (108-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen McDaniels * 31 1-8 1-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 3 - -
Terry Rozier * 30 5-15 1-6 0-0 3 8 0 1 11 - -
Devonte' Graham * 28 6-14 3-11 1-2 4 3 0 0 16 - -
Miles Bridges * 26 5-13 3-6 0-0 5 3 0 1 13 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. * 15 2-3 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Caleb Martin 25 3-7 0-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Cody Martin 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Brad Wanamaker 13 3-4 0-0 5-5 0 5 1 0 11 - -
P.J. Washington 13 1-4 0-1 0-2 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Cody Zeller 13 3-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 8 - -
Bismack Biyombo 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Grant Riller 9 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 - -
Nick Richards 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 28 8-13 1-4 1-1 16 6 0 0 18 - -
Coby White * 28 7-10 4-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Daniel Theis * 25 3-7 0-3 3-3 7 1 0 2 9 - -
Garrett Temple * 24 3-8 3-6 0-0 2 4 0 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 23 3-6 0-2 1-2 3 3 1 0 7 - -
Lauri Markkanen 26 4-11 3-8 0-0 4 0 1 0 11 - -
Thaddeus Young 20 8-10 1-1 1-1 4 3 2 0 18 - -
Tomas Satoransky 20 4-10 1-5 1-2 2 7 3 0 10 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -
Denzel Valentine 16 1-7 0-6 1-2 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Cristiano Felicio 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Javonte Green 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Devon Dotson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Adam Mokoka 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter