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2021-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% -
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (124-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 29 8-16 0-1 2-2 2 6 0 0 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 26 9-21 0-4 6-7 3 3 0 1 24 - -
Seth Curry * 25 4-6 3-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 11 - -
George Hill * 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Danny Green * 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 - -
Shake Milton 26 8-14 3-5 1-2 3 4 0 0 20 - -
Matisse Thybulle 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 5 - -
Mike Scott 22 4-6 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Tyrese Maxey 19 4-11 2-4 1-2 0 5 1 0 11 - -
Dwight Howard 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 4 - -
Anthony Tolliver 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 - -
Isaiah Joe 3 0-0 0-0 1-3 0 0 0 0 1 - -
Rayjon Tucker 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 - -
Paul Reed 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 35 8-15 1-2 10-18 16 6 2 1 27 - -
Jrue Holiday * 34 5-12 1-5 1-2 4 11 1 1 12 - -
Khris Middleton * 33 10-16 4-7 0-0 1 5 1 0 24 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 25 1-5 1-5 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 6-10 4-7 0-0 4 1 0 2 16 - -
P.J. Tucker 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Pat Connaughton 22 4-6 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 10 - -
Bobby Portis 22 9-11 5-5 0-0 5 1 1 3 23 - -
Bryn Forbes 15 2-4 2-4 3-3 3 0 0 0 9 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Nwora 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Sam Merrill 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter