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2021-04-22

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 32.7% 67.3% +4.0 (9.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.6% 34.4% -
Log Adjusted 65.6% 34.4% -
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +13 (99-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 44 7-16 1-9 0-0 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Chris Paul * 38 8-16 3-7 3-3 8 8 2 0 22 - -
Cameron Johnson * 33 3-11 0-6 2-2 6 1 1 1 8 - -
Deandre Ayton * 33 5-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 10 - -
Devin Booker * 25 6-13 0-2 3-4 4 2 0 0 15 - -
Torrey Craig 21 3-8 1-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Cameron Payne 17 3-9 1-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Dario Saric 11 1-5 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Langston Galloway 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kemba Walker * 36 11-17 5-11 5-6 4 4 0 1 32 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 4-11 1-5 2-3 7 5 1 0 11 - -
Tristan Thompson * 33 3-7 0-0 3-3 12 1 1 0 9 - -
Jayson Tatum * 33 3-17 1-8 8-8 11 6 1 0 15 - -
Romeo Langford * 31 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Payton Pritchard 20 3-8 2-7 2-2 4 0 1 0 10 - -
Grant Williams 17 2-4 0-2 1-2 2 0 2 0 5 - -
Jabari Parker 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Nesmith 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Semi Ojeleye 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter